Course at Brazilian Petroleum Institute Takes Lessons from Local Oil Industry
Most of Professor Luciano Arantes Rezende Costa’s students at the Brazilian Petroleum Institute work in the local oil industry.
So, when he teaches his 20-hour course on evaluation of petroleum exploration opportunities, he has to provide hands-on lessons his students can immediately apply in their own careers.
That’s where Palisade’s @RISK software comes into play.
"To illustrate the classes, I've created a very simple model in Excel for evaluating exploration opportunities and bidding on them," Prof. Costa says. "Using the flexibility of @RISK, I've included in this model uncertainty about how much petroleum could be found (recoverable volume); how much could be produced by year (production curve); and how much cash flow could be expected from the estimated production."
Prof. Costa speaks from experience. In addition to teaching at the Institute, he works full time for Petrobras, one of the world’s largest integrated energy companies. The Rio de Janeiro-based company currently produces about 2.6 million barrels of oil and natural-gas equivalent a day.
Prof. Costa first encountered @RISK while earning his master’s degree at Colorado School of Mines in 1997. He says @RISK continues to be one of the easiest ways to teach Monte Carlo Simulation, a computerized mathematical technique to account for risk in quantitative analysis and decision-making. "Students can visualize what is going on just by pressing a single button," he says.
"My classes are very practical because students can grasp the concepts easily and use @RISK to create new models for their own real-life problems," Prof. Costa says.
» Learn more about how Petrobras has integrated
@RISK into their operations
Make Palisade Your Summer "Elective"
Are you interested in introducing your students to Palisade’s DecisionTools Suite software but aren’t sure how to go about it?
We understand that to teach your students about our tools, you must first know how to use them. That’s why the Palisade Course License includes complimentary web-based training.
From the comfort of your home or office, you can learn how to use the tools by following along on a virtual desktop with one of our professional instructors. And with multiple sessions offered throughout the summer, you can be up to speed by the start of the fall semester.
What is a Palisade Course License?
We have created a comprehensive solution that provides licensing for you, your students and your university lab – all backed by support materials and training. With the adoption of a Palisade Course License, you receive:
- One-year licenses for each student to install the software on his or her personal machine. Your students will have access to all seven tools in our decision analysis tool kit including our flagship product, @RISK.
- A network license for your school’s computer lab. This is ideal for students who do not have their own computers or for instructors who teach in a lab setting.
- A fully functioning and perpetual license of the DecisionTools Suite for you, as the instructor. With a commercial value of close to $3000, the license comes with a year of maintenance, including upgrades, updates and unlimited technical support at no charge. The license carries no watermarks, so it is perfect for demonstrations, research and reporting.
With a Palisade Course License, you will also receive four books published by DecisionTools Suite experts at Indiana University’s Kelley School of Business. Dr. Wayne Winston authored three of the books: "Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization I & II", and "Decision Making Under Uncertainty with RISKOptimizer". The fourth title is "Learning Statistics with StatTools" by Dr. Chris Albright.
These books contain a host of example models that can be used in the classroom. Many schools have also adopted these texts as required reading, and we can offer multiple copies at a discounted student rate.
Our goal is to make the transition to teaching with Palisade tools as effortless and rewarding as possible. If the Palisade Course License does not meet your needs, we are happy to work with you to find an alternative solution. If you are interested in learning more, please contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org.
The DecisionTools Suite is the most valuable
analytical tool that I took away from my MBA
education. Being able to efficiently incorporate
data from other analytical sources, as well as
the tight integration with Microsoft Office, made
the Palisade suite of products the logical focal
point of my analytical efforts.
Jason Brennan, Information Systems,
Georgia Institute of Technology
Over 60,000 students use the DecisionTools Suite annually in their MBA and graduate level programs. In 2010, over 800 universities worldwide adopted the DecisionTools Suite. Professors in business, engineering, OR, and other fields keep their students on the cutting edge by teaching the latest analytical techniques from Palisade. Some major schools with programs and courses that standardized on the DecisionTools Suite last month include:
US and Canada:
||Appalachian State University|
Illinois State University
Loyola University Maryland
New Mexico State University
North Central College
Stevens Institute of Technology
University of Alabama in Huntsville
University of California, Davis
University of Colorado, Boulder
University of Colorado, Denver
University of North Alabama
University of Pennsylvania
University of Pennsylvania-Vet
University of Richmond
University of Texas, Austin
University of Toledo
University of Toronto
University of Wyoming
Université de Moncton
||Flanders Business School (Belgium)
Universidad de Talca (Chile)
Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas (Peru)
Universidad Politecnica de Valencia (Spain)
University of Oxford (UK)
University of Southampton (UK)
There are three easy ways to get the DecisionTools Suite for your students:
Course Licenses available from Palisade. These are economical, annually renewing bulk licenses for both
network lab and laptop installation.
» Learn more
Student Versions from Palisade. These are 12-month versions available for purchase individually by students through either the Palisade web site or the school store.
» Learn more
Textbook Editions available bundled with textbooks.
These are time- and model-limited licenses.
» Learn more
Get DecisionTools Suite 5.7 for your course by contacting:
Palisade Academic Sales
800-432-7475 / 607-277-8000
It is very important for these new decision
makers to be entirely comfortable with the
overwhelming amount and complexity of
information they’ll have to deal with when
they when they leave the school for that
first big job. And we’re convinced that
@RISK is the tool that can provide the most
sophisticated perspective on the information
they’ll use for decision making.
Barbara Ostdiek, Finance Professor,
Jesse H. Jones Graduate School of Management,
The DecisionTools Suite is a great way to present quantitative techniques in a straightforward, easy-to-understand way. Each month we feature an example or tip illustrating how students can gain "real world" benefits by implementing quantitative analysis.
Finding Value at Risk (VAR) of a Portfolio
Excerpted from Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization by Wayne Winston, published by Palisade
Anybody who owns a portfolio of investments knows there is a great deal of uncertainty about the future worth of the portfolio. Recently the concept of value at risk (VAR) has been used to help describe a portfolio's uncertainty. Simply stated, value at risk of a portfolio at a future point in time is usually considered to be the fifth percentile of the loss in the portfolio's value at that point in time. In short, there is considered to be only one chance in 20 that the portfolio's loss will exceed the VAR. To illustrate the idea, suppose a portfolio today is worth $100. We simulate the portfolio's value one year from now and find there is a 5% chance that the portfolio's value will be $80 or less. Then the portfolio's VAR is $20 or 20%. The following example shows how @RISK can be used to measure VAR. The example also demonstrates how buying puts can greatly reduce the risk, or hedge, a long position in a stock.
Download sample chapter and spreadsheet
The DecisionTools Suite is included in dozens of major textbooks, and is a key component of more titles every year. Authors use the DecisionTools Suite to illustrate key analytical concepts and build examples demonstrating the value of quantitative techniques in business, OR, and engineering.
Essentials of Modern Business Statistics
with Microsoft Excel, 4th Edition
By David R. Anderson; Thomas A. Williams; Dennis J. Sweeney
From the renowned author team that has been writing market-leading business statistics textbooks for more than 20 years, this book provides a brief introduction to business statistics that balances a conceptual understanding of statistics with the real-world application of statistical methodology. The latest DecisionTools Suite software is utilized and included with the text as well.
» Learn more from the publisher
» See a list of books bundled with Palisade software
Professors, PhD candidates, practitioners and others often use the DecisionTools Suite as part of a complex analysis to address important problems. These analyses are published in white papers. Each month we will feature a different academic white paper addressing a wide range of issues.
Potential of Using New Technology for
Estimating Body Condition Scores
By Jeffrey M. Bewley, Department of Animal Science and Food Sciences, University of Kentucky and Michael M. Schutz, Department of Animal Sciences, Purdue University
Although the benefits of body condition
scoring (BCS) are intuitive to most dairy industry
professionals, relatively few dairy farms have
incorporated it as part of their routine management
strategy. The lack of adoption of this technique is
largely attributable to subjectivity and time
requirements. An automated BCS system would be
less demanding of time by trained personnel, less
stressful to cattle, more objective and consistent,
and possibly more cost effective.
economic feasibility of investment in an automated
BCS system was also explored using a dynamic,
stochastic simulation dairy model designed to
examine investments in dairy intervention
technologies. The model was created in Microsoft
Excel using the @RISK add-in to consider the
stochastic nature of key variables with Monte Carlo
View the full paper
Professors using Palisade software share examples and teaching tips they've used in class in Palisade's Academic Webcast series. Register online at no charge.
Forestalling Foreclosure: Using @RISK
to Analyze Debt Capacity and Find a
Strategic Alternative to Default
Presented by Steven Slezak, California Polytechnic State University
June 23, 2011, 1:00pm ET
This webcast illustrates how even a simple @RISK simulation can provide valuable insights into a complicated financial issue and lead to a strategic solution.
» Register now
» See complete Webcast schedule
|The Academic Global Leader in
Risk and Decision Analysis
Palisade is the world’s leading provider of risk and decision analysis software and solutions. Founded in 1984, its products @RISK and the DecisionTools Suite are used by over 95% of the Fortune 100, in nearly every industry around the world. Palisade is headquartered in New York State, and has offices in London, Sydney, Rio de Janeiro, and Tokyo.
What is The DecisionTools Suite?
The DecisionTools Suite is the world’s only integrated set of risk and decision analysis programs. The Suite includes @RISK for Monte Carlo simulation, PrecisionTree for decision trees, and TopRank for “what if” sensitivity analysis. In addition, DecisionTools Suite comes with StatTools for statistical analysis and forecasting, NeuralTools for predictive neural networks, and Evolver and RISKOptimizer for optimization. All programs work together seamlessly, and all integrate completely with Microsoft Excel for ease of use and maximum flexibility.
The Suite is offered in three affordable and flexible licensing options for those in academia: Student Versions, Course Licenses and Full Academic Versions.
» Schools using Palisade software
» Textbooks using Palisade software
» BPI Course Takes
Lessons from Local
» Make Palisade Your
» Recent School Adoptions
» Licensing Options
» Teaching Tips &
Finding Value at Risk
(VAR) of a Portfolio
» Textbook of the Month
Essentials of Modern
Business Statistics with
Microsoft Excel, 4th Edition
» Featured White Paper
Potential of Using New
Technology for Estimating
Body Condition Scores
» Academic Live Webcasts
» About Palisade and the
Click to chat live with
a sales representative
Industry experts present real-world case studies about innovative and interesting approaches to risk and decision analysis. Also, ever-popular workshops and training delivered by Palisade consultants, and sneak previews of new software.
» Amsterdam: 29-30 March
» Mexico City: 1-2 June
» Rio de Janiero: 14-15 Sept
» Las Vegas: 10-11 Nov
These seminars are designed to show companies and individuals the benefits of using Palisade solutions – and will also show existing customers how the latest releases can add even more value to their business.
» Irvine, CA: 23 June 2011
» Atlanta, GA: 28 June 2011
» Dublin: 24 August 2011
» Trade Shows
Palisade will be attending the following trade shows in the coming months.
June 19th – 23rd
PMI Global Congress 2011
October 22nd – October 25th
Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
October 30th – November 3rd
Colorado Convention Center
INFORMS Annual Meeting
November 13th – 16th
Charlotte Convention Center
DSI - Decision Sciences Inst
November 19th – 22nd
June 21st - 23rd
58th ISI Congress 2011
August 21st - 26th
» Training Seminars
Melbourne: 6-7 July
Sydney: 20-22 July
Brisbane: 24-25 August
Melbourne: 12-13 October
EMEA & India
Copenhagen: 20-21 June
London: 27-28 June
London: 2-4 August
London: 6-7 September
Den Haag: 27-29 September
Munich: 11-12 October
London: 25-27 October
México D.F.: 12-14 de julio
Santa Cruz Bolivia:
16-18 de agosto
29-31 de agosto
Buenos Aires, Argentina:
19-21 de septiembre
Lima, Perú: 4-6 de octubre
18-20 de octubre
Kansas City, MO: 6-7 July
Seattle, WA: 19-21 July
Mount Laurel, NJ: 27-28 July
Toronto: 2-3 August
Jersey City: 16-17 August
Calgary: 31 Aug. - 1 Sept.
Denver: 13-15 September
Chicago: 27-28 September
Boston: 18-20 October
» Live Web Training
Decision-Making and Quantitative Risk Analysis using @RISK
14-15 July, 1pm-5pm ET
10-11 August, 1pm-5pm ET
Decision-Making and Quantitative Risk Analysis using the DecisionTools Suite
22-23 Sept, 1pm-5pm ET
10-11 October, 1pm-5pm ET
Project Risk Assessment Using @RISK for Project
11 July, 11am-3pm ET
» Live Webcasts
These complimentary sessions are 30-60 minutes, held via web conference. See industry case studies, software demos, applications, and more.
Using @RISK to Analyze Debt
and Find a Strategic
Alternative to Default
June 23, 2011, 1:00pm ET
Polytechnic State University
The Use of @RISK and
Economic Value Added
in Business Valuation
July 13, 2011, 10:00am ET
Economic Value Advisors
Intuitive Project Management
Techniques for @RISK
July 22, 2011, 11:00am ET
RMP, and CQM
Use of Simulation Models in
Pricing Health Insurance and
August 11, 2011, 11:00am ET
Tim Robinson and
Strategy Partners, LLC
Modeling Time Series
Forecasts with @RISK
September 9, 2011,
Eric Torkia, MASc
Partner, Analytics Practice
Technology Partnerz Ltd
Palisade software is available in fully functional trial versions. Try @RISK or any of our software today!
The complete risk and
decision analysis toolkit
The world's most widely
used risk analysis tool
» @RISK for Excel
» @RISK for Project
» @RISK for Six Sigma
Visual decision analysis
Sophisticated neural networks for spreadsheets
Advanced statistical analysis for spreadsheets
The Innovative Optimizer
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